華師經管學術講座第459期（經濟）
【題目】The Rule of Noble Lie: Omens, Taxes and Rebellions in Imperial China（善謊之治：古代中國的占卜、稅賦與叛亂）
【時間】11月9日（星期四）15:00
【地點】經管學院文二棟536會議室
【主講人】張延人 （復旦大學發展研究院副教授）
【主持人】董志強 教授
【內容】
The tradition of linking celestial phenomena with secular political behavior has been a longstanding practice in human civilization that has often been viewed as a superstitious obstacle to modern development. We challenge this view by demonstrating how this tradition enhances state capacity and reduces social conflicts. Using the Bayesian persuasion approach, we construct a model of political cosmology and test it in the context of the doctrine of Heaven-Mankind Interaction in Imperial China. The results show increased tax cuts and reduced farmer rebellions, highlighting the socio-economic significance of Confucian doctrine and echoing Plato's ''noble lie'' concept.
【主講人簡介】
張延人博士，復旦發展研究院(FDDI)助理教授。他在2013年獲英國阿伯丁大學(University of Aberdeen)國王學院經濟學博士學位。他的研究興趣聚焦于應用博弈論、行為合約理論、企業理論與發展經濟學領域。目前的研究包含但不限于發明家流動與企業創新、家族企業內部治理、微表情識別的實驗經濟學運用、社交網絡與區域一體化、國家能力的量化經濟史等主題。他的論文已經發表在《經濟研究》、Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Journal of Population Economics, Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics等國內外重要學術刊物上。