華南經濟論壇第280期
主題:Economic Return to Political Support: Evidence from Voting on the Representation of China in the United Nations
時間:5月21日(周四)下午2:00
地點:騰訊會議(會議號:395 343 726 ;密碼: 3931 )
主講人:周泳宏副教授
主講人簡介:
周泳宏,經濟學博士,副教授,研究方向主要是發展經濟學、政治經濟學、粵港澳經濟等。在China Economic Review、Empirical Economics、Defence and Peace Economics、經濟學(季刊)、統計研究等期刊發表多篇論文。主持國家自然科學基金、廣東省自然科學基金等課題。
Abstract: This study investigates the effect of political support in the United Nations on international trade by taking the votes on the representation of China from 1954 to 1971 as a case study. We document a strongly positive effect of political support toward the People's Republic of China on bilateral trade in the next year. This conclusion is robust when we consider different quantitative methods and sample selections. In order to account for the potential endogeneity problem, the interest similarity with Albania, a socialist country which shared the same ideology with the People's Republic of China, is applied as an instrumental variable. Our empirical results support the idea that trade plays a role in the economic return of international politics.